Craig Trapp
NBA | May 28
Orlando Magic vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Total 190 ov-110
Betting Trends
-Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
-Over is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 home games.
-Over is 6-1 in Cavaliers last 7 Conference Finals games.
-Over is 5-2 in Magic last 7 vs. NBA Central.
This series has been very one sided with ORL out scoring CLE in every game but one. ORL is up 3-1 and the over is also 3-1. The only under game was under by one point. Also these teams are averaging over 100 pts each in the series. ORL is shooting lights out from the three point line. CLE must shoot better if they are going to have a chance. CLE can't stop ORL and tonight they will outscore them. The surprising ORL Magic will continue to play well and really push CLE in a close game. OVER will be TOO EASY HERE!!Score CLE 102 - ORL 98
NBA | May 28
Orlando Magic vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Total 190 ov-110
Betting Trends
-Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
-Over is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 home games.
-Over is 6-1 in Cavaliers last 7 Conference Finals games.
-Over is 5-2 in Magic last 7 vs. NBA Central.
This series has been very one sided with ORL out scoring CLE in every game but one. ORL is up 3-1 and the over is also 3-1. The only under game was under by one point. Also these teams are averaging over 100 pts each in the series. ORL is shooting lights out from the three point line. CLE must shoot better if they are going to have a chance. CLE can't stop ORL and tonight they will outscore them. The surprising ORL Magic will continue to play well and really push CLE in a close game. OVER will be TOO EASY HERE!!Score CLE 102 - ORL 98
Vernon Croy
MLB | May 28
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Boston Red Sox -116
Take the Boston Red Sox ML, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and the Twins are just 4-10 in their last 14 day games. The Red Sox are 13-4 in Josh Beckett's (4-2, 5.01 ERA) last 17 road games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and the Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 games against the Twins. Beckett has pitched solid over his last 3 starts with an ERA of just 2.14 and he allowed 0 earned runs his last outing which was against the Mets. The Red Sox bullpen has pitched solid with an ERA of just 2.99 this season while the Twins bullpen has been inconsistent with an ERA of 5.44 at home. The Red Sox are 6-1 in Beckett's last 7 starts against an AL Central opponent and they are 12-3 in their last 15 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Take the Red Sox are my MLB Bonus Play for Thursday as they avoid the sweep with Beckett on the mound.
MLB | May 28
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Boston Red Sox -116
Take the Boston Red Sox ML, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and the Twins are just 4-10 in their last 14 day games. The Red Sox are 13-4 in Josh Beckett's (4-2, 5.01 ERA) last 17 road games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and the Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 games against the Twins. Beckett has pitched solid over his last 3 starts with an ERA of just 2.14 and he allowed 0 earned runs his last outing which was against the Mets. The Red Sox bullpen has pitched solid with an ERA of just 2.99 this season while the Twins bullpen has been inconsistent with an ERA of 5.44 at home. The Red Sox are 6-1 in Beckett's last 7 starts against an AL Central opponent and they are 12-3 in their last 15 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Take the Red Sox are my MLB Bonus Play for Thursday as they avoid the sweep with Beckett on the mound.
Game of the day: Orlando at Cleveland
By Matt Fargo
Orlando Magic at Cleveland Cavaliers (-8, 190)
Series clincher?
Orlando is proving to be the best team in the Eastern Conference after winning Game 4 Tuesday to take a commanding 3-1 lead in the series. The Cavaliers, the league’s best regular season team, now must win three straight games to advance to the NBA Finals.
The good news is that two games will be on their home floor where they are 44-3 this season. However, one of those losses came in Game 1 of this series.
The Cavaliers are in a huge hole but they have the talent and the ability to mount a comeback. Being down three games to one is not impossible to come back from but the odds are not in the Cavaliers’ favor.
Since 1947, there have been 190 series where a team has led 3-1. Of those, 182 were won by the team with the lead. History shows Cleveland to have just over a four percent chance of advancing.
The Magic know the odds but are also aware Cleveland is not going to quit, making this series far from over.
“When you have a guy like him (LeBron James) on the other side of the court, you're a long, long way from it being over,” Magic Coach Stan Van Gundy told reporters.
Back to basics
Cleveland needs to start playing defense. The Cavaliers led the NBA this season in scoring defense, allowing just 91.4 ppg and their 43.1 percent shooting defense was tied for first with the Celtics.
In the first series against the Pistons, Cleveland allowed 78 ppg. In the second series against Atlanta, the Cavaliers allowed 78.3 ppg. Through the first four games against Orlando, the Cavaliers have allowed 104.3 ppg. Take away the overtime points and the average is still a gaudy 100.3 ppg.
Cleveland prides itself on defense, just like the Celtics did in their NBA Championship run last season. The Cavaliers cannot win this series by outscoring Orlando in a shootout. The Magic have have too many weapons to knock down shots. Cleveland needs to defend to get back into this series and have any shot of advancing.
“When you have a team that shoots the 3-ball as well as they do and they have a stretch [the floor] big man against our two traditional bigs, it's tough,” Cavaliers head coach Mike Brown told the media. “Plus, you have Dwight Howard.”
Orlando has been held to less than 48 percent shooting only once in this series and it has topped 50 percent twice. In the Cavaliers’ first game in Orlando, they held the Magic to 42.9 percent shooting from the floor including 35.3 percent from long range. They lost that game but that was because of a below average effort on offense, where they shot just 37.2 percent from the floor including a putrid 19.2 percent from behind the arc.
Balancing act
James is a great player but he can’t do it alone and that is visibly a big problem for Cleveland. He is the go-to guy and if not for his clutch 3-pointer in Game 2, Cleveland would be making its summer plans. This series looks as though it is taking its toll on James. He looks fatigued and beat up toward the end of these games.
James committed eight turnovers in Game 4, including six in the fourth quarter and in overtime. It is clear that he needs another player that is capable of making plays and right now the Cavaliers do not have that.
Almost every championship team has had more than one clutch player it could turn to. Looking back at Game 4, Cleveland turned to James only and Orlando had an answer. It was able to defend since the Cavaliers isolated James for one-on-one plays more often than not.
Orlando is proving its balanced roster makes it the better team. It is no fluke that the Magic are a perfect 7-0 ATS against the Cavaliers this season. Cleveland has either won close games (two wins by 2.5 ppg) or the Magic have dominated and won big (five wins by 10.6 ppg). It is hard to overlook the fact that Cleveland is 15-3 (14-4 ATS) following a loss this season, so don’t discount the Cavs quite yet.
By Matt Fargo
Orlando Magic at Cleveland Cavaliers (-8, 190)
Series clincher?
Orlando is proving to be the best team in the Eastern Conference after winning Game 4 Tuesday to take a commanding 3-1 lead in the series. The Cavaliers, the league’s best regular season team, now must win three straight games to advance to the NBA Finals.
The good news is that two games will be on their home floor where they are 44-3 this season. However, one of those losses came in Game 1 of this series.
The Cavaliers are in a huge hole but they have the talent and the ability to mount a comeback. Being down three games to one is not impossible to come back from but the odds are not in the Cavaliers’ favor.
Since 1947, there have been 190 series where a team has led 3-1. Of those, 182 were won by the team with the lead. History shows Cleveland to have just over a four percent chance of advancing.
The Magic know the odds but are also aware Cleveland is not going to quit, making this series far from over.
“When you have a guy like him (LeBron James) on the other side of the court, you're a long, long way from it being over,” Magic Coach Stan Van Gundy told reporters.
Back to basics
Cleveland needs to start playing defense. The Cavaliers led the NBA this season in scoring defense, allowing just 91.4 ppg and their 43.1 percent shooting defense was tied for first with the Celtics.
In the first series against the Pistons, Cleveland allowed 78 ppg. In the second series against Atlanta, the Cavaliers allowed 78.3 ppg. Through the first four games against Orlando, the Cavaliers have allowed 104.3 ppg. Take away the overtime points and the average is still a gaudy 100.3 ppg.
Cleveland prides itself on defense, just like the Celtics did in their NBA Championship run last season. The Cavaliers cannot win this series by outscoring Orlando in a shootout. The Magic have have too many weapons to knock down shots. Cleveland needs to defend to get back into this series and have any shot of advancing.
“When you have a team that shoots the 3-ball as well as they do and they have a stretch [the floor] big man against our two traditional bigs, it's tough,” Cavaliers head coach Mike Brown told the media. “Plus, you have Dwight Howard.”
Orlando has been held to less than 48 percent shooting only once in this series and it has topped 50 percent twice. In the Cavaliers’ first game in Orlando, they held the Magic to 42.9 percent shooting from the floor including 35.3 percent from long range. They lost that game but that was because of a below average effort on offense, where they shot just 37.2 percent from the floor including a putrid 19.2 percent from behind the arc.
Balancing act
James is a great player but he can’t do it alone and that is visibly a big problem for Cleveland. He is the go-to guy and if not for his clutch 3-pointer in Game 2, Cleveland would be making its summer plans. This series looks as though it is taking its toll on James. He looks fatigued and beat up toward the end of these games.
James committed eight turnovers in Game 4, including six in the fourth quarter and in overtime. It is clear that he needs another player that is capable of making plays and right now the Cavaliers do not have that.
Almost every championship team has had more than one clutch player it could turn to. Looking back at Game 4, Cleveland turned to James only and Orlando had an answer. It was able to defend since the Cavaliers isolated James for one-on-one plays more often than not.
Orlando is proving its balanced roster makes it the better team. It is no fluke that the Magic are a perfect 7-0 ATS against the Cavaliers this season. Cleveland has either won close games (two wins by 2.5 ppg) or the Magic have dominated and won big (five wins by 10.6 ppg). It is hard to overlook the fact that Cleveland is 15-3 (14-4 ATS) following a loss this season, so don’t discount the Cavs quite yet.
Orlando at Cleveland, Game 5
By Brian Edwards
The Cleveland Cavaliers will be staring elimination in the face Thursday when they play host to Orlando in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference finals at Quicken Loans Arena. Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened Mike Brown’s team as an eight-point favorite with a total of 191.
As of early Wednesday night, most sports books had Cleveland (75-19 straight up, 57-36-1 against the spread) as a 7 ½-point ‘chalk’ with the total adjusted to 190. Bettors can back the Magic to win outright for a plus-300 return (risk $100 to win $300).
Stan Van Gundy’s squad took a 3-1 series lead thanks to Tuesday’s 116-114 overtime win as a one-point home underdog. Dwight Howard took over in the extra session, scoring 10 of his 27 points. The fifth-year center also pulled down 14 rebounds to go with four assists and three blocked shots.
Nevertheless, the Cavs had a chance to win at the buzzer but unlike in Game 2, LeBron James’ 3-pointer at the horn was off the mark. James put forth a valiant effort in defeat, finishing with 44 points, 12 rebounds and seven assists. He forced OT by draining a pair of free throws with 0.5 seconds remaining in regulation.
On the ensuing possession, the Magic attempted a lob to Howard who was well defended by Anderson Varejao. The home crowd wanted a whistle on Varejao, but I thought it was an excellent no-call.
Orlando (70-29 SU, 59-39-1 ATS) has now covered the number in nine consecutive head-to-head meetings against the Cavs. Howard and Co. have also taken the cash in six straight games dating back to the Boston series.
Cleveland continues to have all sorts of problems defending Rashard Lewis and Hedo Turkoglu. Lewis had 17 points in Game 4, while Turkoglu produced 15 points, eight assists and seven boards.
Rafer Alston erupted for 26 points Tuesday, knocking down 6-of-12 attempts from 3-point land. As a team, the Magic hit 17 treys on 44 shots from beyond the arc (44.7%).
Mickael Pietrus was once again Orlando’s unsung hero in Game 4. He had 17 points and made James work for everything. In fact, Pietrus should get much of the credit for forcing James into eight turnovers, several of which came in the final stanza and OT.
Mo Williams ‘guaranteed’ a Cavs’ victory, but he was just 5-for-15 from the floor. Williams had 18 points and just two assists. Delonte West was extremely steady in Game 4, tallying 17 points and seven assists without committing a turnover.
Mike Brown’s team returns home where it has enjoyed a ton of success this year. The Cavs are 44-3 SU and 32-15 ATS at Quicken Loans. As for the Magic, it has compiled a 32-18 SU record and a 31-18-1 spread mark.
The ‘under’ is 52-41-1 overall for the Cavs, 26-20-1 in their home games. The ‘under’ is 56-43 overall for the Magic, 25-25 in its road assignments. However, the ‘over’ has hit at a 3-1 clip in this series and is 4-1 in the last five head-to-head meetings between these clubs.
Tip-off on TNT is scheduled for 8:35 p.m. Eastern.
**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**
--For gamblers that wagered on Orlando to win the East finals in five games at BoDog, a ticket at 40/1 odds could be cashed if the Magic can prevail in Game 5.
--Dating back to 1947, NBA teams with a 3-1 series lead have prevailed 182 times in 190 chances.
--It remains to be seen what Cleveland will do in the rest of this series. However, if I’m a Cavs’ fan, I like the tone of my leader in the post-game presser after Game 4. James had a look of utter determination and zero fear. He said, "I know I am looking forward to the challenge. I'll be ready." There’s no doubt that with James, Cleveland has the potential to become the ninth team to rally from a 3-1 series deficit.
vegasinsider
By Brian Edwards
The Cleveland Cavaliers will be staring elimination in the face Thursday when they play host to Orlando in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference finals at Quicken Loans Arena. Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened Mike Brown’s team as an eight-point favorite with a total of 191.
As of early Wednesday night, most sports books had Cleveland (75-19 straight up, 57-36-1 against the spread) as a 7 ½-point ‘chalk’ with the total adjusted to 190. Bettors can back the Magic to win outright for a plus-300 return (risk $100 to win $300).
Stan Van Gundy’s squad took a 3-1 series lead thanks to Tuesday’s 116-114 overtime win as a one-point home underdog. Dwight Howard took over in the extra session, scoring 10 of his 27 points. The fifth-year center also pulled down 14 rebounds to go with four assists and three blocked shots.
Nevertheless, the Cavs had a chance to win at the buzzer but unlike in Game 2, LeBron James’ 3-pointer at the horn was off the mark. James put forth a valiant effort in defeat, finishing with 44 points, 12 rebounds and seven assists. He forced OT by draining a pair of free throws with 0.5 seconds remaining in regulation.
On the ensuing possession, the Magic attempted a lob to Howard who was well defended by Anderson Varejao. The home crowd wanted a whistle on Varejao, but I thought it was an excellent no-call.
Orlando (70-29 SU, 59-39-1 ATS) has now covered the number in nine consecutive head-to-head meetings against the Cavs. Howard and Co. have also taken the cash in six straight games dating back to the Boston series.
Cleveland continues to have all sorts of problems defending Rashard Lewis and Hedo Turkoglu. Lewis had 17 points in Game 4, while Turkoglu produced 15 points, eight assists and seven boards.
Rafer Alston erupted for 26 points Tuesday, knocking down 6-of-12 attempts from 3-point land. As a team, the Magic hit 17 treys on 44 shots from beyond the arc (44.7%).
Mickael Pietrus was once again Orlando’s unsung hero in Game 4. He had 17 points and made James work for everything. In fact, Pietrus should get much of the credit for forcing James into eight turnovers, several of which came in the final stanza and OT.
Mo Williams ‘guaranteed’ a Cavs’ victory, but he was just 5-for-15 from the floor. Williams had 18 points and just two assists. Delonte West was extremely steady in Game 4, tallying 17 points and seven assists without committing a turnover.
Mike Brown’s team returns home where it has enjoyed a ton of success this year. The Cavs are 44-3 SU and 32-15 ATS at Quicken Loans. As for the Magic, it has compiled a 32-18 SU record and a 31-18-1 spread mark.
The ‘under’ is 52-41-1 overall for the Cavs, 26-20-1 in their home games. The ‘under’ is 56-43 overall for the Magic, 25-25 in its road assignments. However, the ‘over’ has hit at a 3-1 clip in this series and is 4-1 in the last five head-to-head meetings between these clubs.
Tip-off on TNT is scheduled for 8:35 p.m. Eastern.
**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**
--For gamblers that wagered on Orlando to win the East finals in five games at BoDog, a ticket at 40/1 odds could be cashed if the Magic can prevail in Game 5.
--Dating back to 1947, NBA teams with a 3-1 series lead have prevailed 182 times in 190 chances.
--It remains to be seen what Cleveland will do in the rest of this series. However, if I’m a Cavs’ fan, I like the tone of my leader in the post-game presser after Game 4. James had a look of utter determination and zero fear. He said, "I know I am looking forward to the challenge. I'll be ready." There’s no doubt that with James, Cleveland has the potential to become the ninth team to rally from a 3-1 series deficit.
vegasinsider
Thursday, May 28
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ORLANDO (70 - 29) at CLEVELAND (75 - 19) - 5/28/2009, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 13-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 10-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ORLANDO (70 - 29) at CLEVELAND (75 - 19) - 5/28/2009, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 13-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 10-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NBA WRITE-UP
Thursday, May 28
NBA playoffs
Orlando made 17-38 from arc, shot 50% for night in 116-114 Game 4 win; they were 25-60 from the arc in first three series games. Alston was +18 in 37:09, which means Magic was -16 in 10:51 he was off floor. In only Cleveland win this series, James was still -7 (Cavs were +8 in 5:28 he was off floor). Three of four series games have been decided by one or two points. Cleveland got to line 71 times in two games in Orlando and still lost both games- they lose this game, their season's over.
Thursday, May 28
NBA playoffs
Orlando made 17-38 from arc, shot 50% for night in 116-114 Game 4 win; they were 25-60 from the arc in first three series games. Alston was +18 in 37:09, which means Magic was -16 in 10:51 he was off floor. In only Cleveland win this series, James was still -7 (Cavs were +8 in 5:28 he was off floor). Three of four series games have been decided by one or two points. Cleveland got to line 71 times in two games in Orlando and still lost both games- they lose this game, their season's over.
Trend Report
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8:30 PM
ORLANDO vs. CLEVELAND
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Orlando is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
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8:30 PM
ORLANDO vs. CLEVELAND
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Orlando is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
MLB WRITE-UP
Thursday, May 28
Hot Pitchers
-- Wolf is 1-0, 2.59 in his last five starts. Wells has a 1.50 RA in his first three starts, but no wins.
-- Lowe is 2-1, 2.45 in his last three starts.
-- Swarczak shut Milwaukee out for seven innings in his first '09 start. Beckett is 1-0, 3.00 in his last three starts.
-- Tampa Bay won last four Niemann starts, scoring 39 runs.
Cold Pitchers
-- Haren is 0-1, 4.91 in his last four starts.
-- Huff allowed 13 runs in 6.2 IP in his first two '09 starts.
-- Galarraga is 0-4, 7.19 in his last five starts. Hernandez was 3-1, 2.91 at AAA Norfolk (13 walks, 60 K's).
Hot Teams
-- Dodgers won seven of their last eight road games.
-- Arizona is 7-4 in its last eleven games.
-- Twins won six of their last seven games.
-- Indians won four of their last five games.
-- Orioles won five of their last six games.
Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Braves lost last three games, outscored 18-5.
-- Red Sox lost six of their last eight road games.
-- Rays lost last four games, allowing 19 runs in last ten innings.
-- Detroit lost four of its last six road games, allowing 36 runs.
Totals
-- Six of last eight Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last twelve Arizona home games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-2-1 in last twelve Tampa Bay games.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Red Sox games.
-- Seven of last nine Detroit games stayed under the total.
Thursday, May 28
Hot Pitchers
-- Wolf is 1-0, 2.59 in his last five starts. Wells has a 1.50 RA in his first three starts, but no wins.
-- Lowe is 2-1, 2.45 in his last three starts.
-- Swarczak shut Milwaukee out for seven innings in his first '09 start. Beckett is 1-0, 3.00 in his last three starts.
-- Tampa Bay won last four Niemann starts, scoring 39 runs.
Cold Pitchers
-- Haren is 0-1, 4.91 in his last four starts.
-- Huff allowed 13 runs in 6.2 IP in his first two '09 starts.
-- Galarraga is 0-4, 7.19 in his last five starts. Hernandez was 3-1, 2.91 at AAA Norfolk (13 walks, 60 K's).
Hot Teams
-- Dodgers won seven of their last eight road games.
-- Arizona is 7-4 in its last eleven games.
-- Twins won six of their last seven games.
-- Indians won four of their last five games.
-- Orioles won five of their last six games.
Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Braves lost last three games, outscored 18-5.
-- Red Sox lost six of their last eight road games.
-- Rays lost last four games, allowing 19 runs in last ten innings.
-- Detroit lost four of its last six road games, allowing 36 runs.
Totals
-- Six of last eight Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last twelve Arizona home games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-2-1 in last twelve Tampa Bay games.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Red Sox games.
-- Seven of last nine Detroit games stayed under the total.
Trend Report
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12:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. CLEVELAND
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
1:10 PM
BOSTON vs. MINNESOTA
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
7:05 PM
DETROIT vs. BALTIMORE
Detroit is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Baltimore
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
8:05 PM
LA DODGERS vs. CHI CUBS
LA Dodgers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
Chi Cubs are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games at home
Chi Cubs are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games
9:40 PM
ATLANTA vs. ARIZONA
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
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12:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. CLEVELAND
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
1:10 PM
BOSTON vs. MINNESOTA
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
7:05 PM
DETROIT vs. BALTIMORE
Detroit is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Baltimore
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
8:05 PM
LA DODGERS vs. CHI CUBS
LA Dodgers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
Chi Cubs are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games at home
Chi Cubs are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games
9:40 PM
ATLANTA vs. ARIZONA
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
I don't know where to put this but maybe here 
.
I am wondering why nobody seems to use ROI as an indicator for a capper.
Win-percentage doesn't tell anything about the odds so 100W-20L isn't necessarily any good if the odds is very low.
Units is also very diffuse because some touts use 1-10 units and others use 100-2500 units so +14,2 units might be a lot better than +2680 units.
ROI is a simple way to show how you are performing when you take the odds into calculation. Good cappers will have a ROI around 103-110% and a couple of touts I follow (not from USA) have a ROI of about 120% but they are not recommending plays from big leagues like NBA, NFL ect.
What is your opinion and why don't cappers use ROI? Because they would have a ROI of less than 100%?
.I am wondering why nobody seems to use ROI as an indicator for a capper.
Win-percentage doesn't tell anything about the odds so 100W-20L isn't necessarily any good if the odds is very low.
Units is also very diffuse because some touts use 1-10 units and others use 100-2500 units so +14,2 units might be a lot better than +2680 units.
ROI is a simple way to show how you are performing when you take the odds into calculation. Good cappers will have a ROI around 103-110% and a couple of touts I follow (not from USA) have a ROI of about 120% but they are not recommending plays from big leagues like NBA, NFL ect.
What is your opinion and why don't cappers use ROI? Because they would have a ROI of less than 100%?
Vernon Croy
-=TOP PLAY=- MLB | May 28
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Boston Red Sox
-116 at 5DIMES > 3h.
Take the Boston Red Sox ML, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and the Twins are just 4-10 in their last 14 day games. The Red Sox are 13-4 in Josh Beckett's (4-2, 5.01 ERA) last 17 road games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and the Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 games against the Twins. Beckett has pitched solid over his last 3 starts with an ERA of just 2.14 and he allowed 0 earned runs his last outing which was against the Mets. The Red Sox bullpen has pitched solid with an ERA of just 2.99 this season while the Twins bullpen has been inconsistent with an ERA of 5.44 at home. The Red Sox are 6-1 in Beckett's last 7 starts against an AL Central opponent and they are 12-3 in their last 15 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Take the Red Sox are my MLB Bonus Play for Thursday as they avoid the sweep with Beckett on the mound
-=TOP PLAY=- MLB | May 28
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Boston Red Sox
-116 at 5DIMES > 3h.
Take the Boston Red Sox ML, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and the Twins are just 4-10 in their last 14 day games. The Red Sox are 13-4 in Josh Beckett's (4-2, 5.01 ERA) last 17 road games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and the Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 games against the Twins. Beckett has pitched solid over his last 3 starts with an ERA of just 2.14 and he allowed 0 earned runs his last outing which was against the Mets. The Red Sox bullpen has pitched solid with an ERA of just 2.99 this season while the Twins bullpen has been inconsistent with an ERA of 5.44 at home. The Red Sox are 6-1 in Beckett's last 7 starts against an AL Central opponent and they are 12-3 in their last 15 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Take the Red Sox are my MLB Bonus Play for Thursday as they avoid the sweep with Beckett on the mound
Craig Trapp
NBA | May 28
Orlando Magic vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Total
190 ov-110 at BOOKM > 10h.
Great day yesterday for Craig going 3-0 yesterday. Top 5 star plays were 2-0 for his MLB plays. Today Craig has huge Underdog 5 star Winner that will win guaranteed! Today's Bonus Play will win just as easy as yesterdays NBA Bonus Play. Lets look at the trends and the winning pick for today!
Betting Trends
-Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
-Over is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 home games.
-Over is 6-1 in Cavaliers last 7 Conference Finals games.
-Over is 5-2 in Magic last 7 vs. NBA Central.
This series has been very one sided with ORL out scoring CLE in every game but one. ORL is up 3-1 and the over is also 3-1. The only under game was under by one point. Also these teams are averaging over 100 pts each in the series. ORL is shooting lights out from the three point line. CLE must shoot better if they are going to have a chance. CLE can't stop ORL and tonight they will outscore them. The surprising ORL Magic will continue to play well and really push CLE in a close game. OVER will be TOO EASY HERE!!Score CLE 102 - ORL 98
NBA | May 28
Orlando Magic vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Total
190 ov-110 at BOOKM > 10h.
Great day yesterday for Craig going 3-0 yesterday. Top 5 star plays were 2-0 for his MLB plays. Today Craig has huge Underdog 5 star Winner that will win guaranteed! Today's Bonus Play will win just as easy as yesterdays NBA Bonus Play. Lets look at the trends and the winning pick for today!
Betting Trends
-Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
-Over is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 home games.
-Over is 6-1 in Cavaliers last 7 Conference Finals games.
-Over is 5-2 in Magic last 7 vs. NBA Central.
This series has been very one sided with ORL out scoring CLE in every game but one. ORL is up 3-1 and the over is also 3-1. The only under game was under by one point. Also these teams are averaging over 100 pts each in the series. ORL is shooting lights out from the three point line. CLE must shoot better if they are going to have a chance. CLE can't stop ORL and tonight they will outscore them. The surprising ORL Magic will continue to play well and really push CLE in a close game. OVER will be TOO EASY HERE!!Score CLE 102 - ORL 98
Matt Fargo
MLB | May 28
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona D-Backs : Atlanta Braves +114
The Braves were swept in San Francisco to start the week but they are still a game over .500 on the road this season so there is a great opportunity to catch some value in a bounce back situation. Atlanta had won 12 of its previous 17 prior to its series with the Giants but the offense was unable to get anything going. The Braves faced two left-handed starters and could not produce and they also had to encounter Tim Lincecum. Arizona dropped its home series with the Padres as the bats came alive but the pitching once again letdown as it allowed 22 runs in that three-game set. The Diamondbacks have a team ERA of 5.12 over their last 10 games while allowing 5.9 rpg over that stretch. They hope Dan Haren can help get out of the rut but he is coming off his worst outing of the season after tossing eight straight quality outings to begin the year. Some could point to this being a bounce back spot for him and while that could be the case, he has struggled at home to pick up wins. His ERA at home is a solid 2.00 in five starts but Arizona is just 2-3 in those games as it has given him only 2.2 rpg of offensive support. Haren faced the Braves once last season and was hammered for six runs on 10 hits in just 5.1 innings. The Braves counter with Derek Lowe and he is once again pitching well after a hiccup four starts ago. He has tossed six quality outings in his last seven starts, allowing only two earned runs in five of those games. He knows the Diamondbacks very well from his days in Los Angeles and in his last six starts against them, he has posted a 1.91 ERA and this season, the offense of Arizona is even worse. The Diamondbacks are 3-13 in their last 16 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150 while the Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog. 3* Atlanta Braves
MLB | May 28
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona D-Backs : Atlanta Braves +114
The Braves were swept in San Francisco to start the week but they are still a game over .500 on the road this season so there is a great opportunity to catch some value in a bounce back situation. Atlanta had won 12 of its previous 17 prior to its series with the Giants but the offense was unable to get anything going. The Braves faced two left-handed starters and could not produce and they also had to encounter Tim Lincecum. Arizona dropped its home series with the Padres as the bats came alive but the pitching once again letdown as it allowed 22 runs in that three-game set. The Diamondbacks have a team ERA of 5.12 over their last 10 games while allowing 5.9 rpg over that stretch. They hope Dan Haren can help get out of the rut but he is coming off his worst outing of the season after tossing eight straight quality outings to begin the year. Some could point to this being a bounce back spot for him and while that could be the case, he has struggled at home to pick up wins. His ERA at home is a solid 2.00 in five starts but Arizona is just 2-3 in those games as it has given him only 2.2 rpg of offensive support. Haren faced the Braves once last season and was hammered for six runs on 10 hits in just 5.1 innings. The Braves counter with Derek Lowe and he is once again pitching well after a hiccup four starts ago. He has tossed six quality outings in his last seven starts, allowing only two earned runs in five of those games. He knows the Diamondbacks very well from his days in Los Angeles and in his last six starts against them, he has posted a 1.91 ERA and this season, the offense of Arizona is even worse. The Diamondbacks are 3-13 in their last 16 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150 while the Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog. 3* Atlanta Braves
Tom Freese
Atlanta Braves at Arizona Diamondbacks
Prediction: Under
Atlanta is 19-7-1 UNDER after allowing 5 or more runs in their last game and they are 48-23-2 their last 73 road games vs. righty starters. The Braves are 21-10 UNDER vs. a pitcher who has a WHIP of less than 1.15. Starting pitcher Derek Lowe has allowed 4 or less runs in 8 of his 10 starts this year. Arizona starter Dan Haren has a better than 5 to 1 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts. The Diamondbacks are 9-3-2 UNDER in Game 1 of a series and they are 4-1 UNDER in Haren's last 5 home starts. PLAY ON 'UNDER' (Haren vs. Lowe)
Dave Price
1 Unit on Chicago Cubs -119
I'll back the Cubs at home tonight as they have some added motivation to win after being knocked out of the postseason by the Dodgers last fall. The Cubs generally smack lefties around the yard. They are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter and 35-16 in their last 51 home games vs. a left-handed starter. They should have Wolf's number tonight, who is just 3-7 with a 4.71 ERA in 15 games against the Cubs. The Cubs have momentum on their side again off back-to-back wins and Cubs rookie Randy Wells figures to be tough on the Dodgers without them yet to see him. He enters this game with an ERA of 0.00 at home in 1 start and an ERA of 1.50 in 3 starts this season. The Cubs are 11-1 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and 24-6 against the money line in home games in May over the last 2 seasons. Back the Cubbies.
Atlanta Braves at Arizona Diamondbacks
Prediction: Under
Atlanta is 19-7-1 UNDER after allowing 5 or more runs in their last game and they are 48-23-2 their last 73 road games vs. righty starters. The Braves are 21-10 UNDER vs. a pitcher who has a WHIP of less than 1.15. Starting pitcher Derek Lowe has allowed 4 or less runs in 8 of his 10 starts this year. Arizona starter Dan Haren has a better than 5 to 1 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts. The Diamondbacks are 9-3-2 UNDER in Game 1 of a series and they are 4-1 UNDER in Haren's last 5 home starts. PLAY ON 'UNDER' (Haren vs. Lowe)
Dave Price
1 Unit on Chicago Cubs -119
I'll back the Cubs at home tonight as they have some added motivation to win after being knocked out of the postseason by the Dodgers last fall. The Cubs generally smack lefties around the yard. They are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter and 35-16 in their last 51 home games vs. a left-handed starter. They should have Wolf's number tonight, who is just 3-7 with a 4.71 ERA in 15 games against the Cubs. The Cubs have momentum on their side again off back-to-back wins and Cubs rookie Randy Wells figures to be tough on the Dodgers without them yet to see him. He enters this game with an ERA of 0.00 at home in 1 start and an ERA of 1.50 in 3 starts this season. The Cubs are 11-1 against the money line in home games vs. teams outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons and 24-6 against the money line in home games in May over the last 2 seasons. Back the Cubbies.
